HOG · Harley-Davidson, Inc.

HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc.

Gesamt -49%RS-Rating 48vom Hoch -22%Ø $-Vol 57MMax-Runup +865%Max-DD -89%ADR 3.8%Score 151Setups 8Rallyes 8Earnings 20Surf 100%🏄 10/20-Surfer

▲ im Chart anklicken → springt zur Zeile

Grade	Base-Start	Breakout	Tage	Tiefe%	Vorlauf%	Δ Tag%	Gap%	Vol×	Dry-Up%	ADR%	ext10%	Surf%	Setup	Formation	Katalysator
C	2010-03-16	2010-04-05	13	8.9	+33	+10.5	1.5	2.7	-33	3.1	10	100	Flag / Breakout (sauber)	VCP (Contraction)	—:
C	2011-07-07	2011-07-19	8	7.9	+27	+8.9	8.5	3.9	-1	2.6	6	100	Episodic Pivot (Gap)	Flag / Pennant	—:
C	2014-04-04	2014-04-22	11	8.4	+15	+6.4	7.4	4.7	-1	2.1	7	40	Episodic Pivot (Gap)	—	—:
C	2016-04-27	2016-07-01	46	15.9	+35	+19.8	0.2	9.9	26	3.2	18	40	Base-Breakout	—	—:
C	2021-11-01	2021-12-13	29	12.1	+15	+4.7	14.4	18.2	7	3.5	3	83	Episodic Pivot (Gap)	Flat Base	SEC 8-K: Material agreement
C	2022-11-11	2023-02-02	55	17.9	+43	+10.7	7.1	3.5	19	2.9	14	73	Episodic Pivot (Gap)	—	Earnings: Earnings-Report (SEC 8-K 2.02)
C	2024-07-18	2024-07-25	5	11.0	+19	+7.4	9.7	3.5	3	3.3	3	40	Episodic Pivot (Gap)	—	Earnings: Earnings-Report (SEC 8-K 2.02)
C	2025-05-20	2025-07-30	48	14.4	+30	+13.4	16.7	9.0	34	3.7	8	40	Episodic Pivot (Gap)	Flat Base	Earnings: Earnings-Report (SEC 8-K 2.02)

Breakouts 8Trefferquote 38%Ø gehalten -1.1%Median -2.4%Ø Peak +10%Ø hergegeben −11%

Breakout	G	Entry	gehalten	Peak	hergeg.	Tage	Exit
2010-04-05	C	22.46	+13.6%	+24.7%	−11.1%	21	2010-05-04
2011-07-19	C	34.25	-3.3%	+6.5%	−9.8%	9	2011-08-01
2014-04-22	C	56.09	+2.0%	+6.5%	−4.5%	17	2014-05-15
2016-07-01	C	42.01	+6.2%	+15.9%	−9.6%	39	2016-08-26
2021-12-13	C	39.71	-8.3%	+9.0%	−17.3%	3	2021-12-16
2023-02-02	C	48.55	-2.4%	+6.6%	−9.0%	12	2023-02-21
2024-07-25	C	37.55	-6.3%	+3.3%	−9.7%	9	2024-08-07
2025-07-30	C	26.68	-9.9%	+7.0%	−16.9%	2	2025-08-01

Regel: Einstieg am Breakout-Pivot, Trailing-Stop = Tagesschluss unter dem 20-EMA. gehalten = realisierter Gewinn bis zum Stop · Peak = max. Run-Up (MFE) · hergeg. = Peak − gehalten · „offen" = Position läuft noch.

Jahr	Rendite	Spanne	Max-DD	Setups	Schluss
2005	-17%	41%	-29%		39.91
2006	+37%	59%	-12%		54.62
2007	-34%	67%	-39%		36.20
2008	-64%	316%	-74%		13.15
2009	+49%	276%	-59%		19.53
2010	+38%	70%	-39%	1	26.87
2011	+13%	49%	-30%	1	30.44
2012	+27%	43%	-23%		38.63
2013	+44%	46%	-15%		55.56
2014	-3%	36%	-24%	1	53.77
2015	-30%	45%	-30%		37.87
2016	+32%	76%	-18%	1	50.14
2017	-10%	40%	-28%		44.98
2018	-31%	74%	-41%		31.24
2019	+14%	37%	-25%		35.51
2020	+0%	193%	-59%		35.58
2021	+4%	68%	-32%	1	37.10
2022	+12%	64%	-29%		41.60
2023	-11%	104%	-50%	1	36.84
2024	-18%	50%	-32%	1	30.13
2025	-32%	53%	-34%	1	20.49
2026	+20%	58%	-20%		24.49

▲ 2020-04-03 → 2021-05-17 +248% (281 HT)